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Elections Grenada

Analysis

How close was it?

Grenada elects 15 members by first past the post, so small shifts in votes can change a government. These tools show how close each election was, where votes moved, and how far each result can be trusted.

1 · Swing calculator

Move votes between the NDC and the NNP by the same number of points in every constituency (a uniform swing) and see which seats change hands. Other parties’ votes stay as they were. Elections from 1990, when both parties first stood.

NDC 9 · NNP 6NDC majority

In 2022, a uniform swing of 2.0 points toward the NNP would have changed the outcome from an NDC majority to an NNP majority.

Projected winner in each constituency, 2022, at this swingCarriacou & Petite Martinique: NDC. Changes hands at 2.0 pts toward the NNPSt. Andrew South East: NNP. Changes hands at 3.3 pts toward the NDCSt. Andrew South West: NDC. Changes hands at 5.5 pts toward the NNPSt. Andrew North East: NNP. Changes hands at 4.0 pts toward the NDCSt. Andrew North West: NNP. Changes hands at 1.8 pts toward the NDCSt. David: NDC. Changes hands at 11.7 pts toward the NNPTown of St. George: NNP. Changes hands at 4.3 pts toward the NDCSt. George North East: NDC. Changes hands at 10.1 pts toward the NNPSt. George North West: NNP. Changes hands at 24.1 pts toward the NDCSt. George South East: NDC. Changes hands at 6.4 pts toward the NNPSt. George South: NDC. Changes hands at 7.6 pts toward the NNPSt. John: NDC. Changes hands at 0.1 pts toward the NNPSt. Mark: NNP. Changes hands at 9.6 pts toward the NDCSt. Patrick East: NDC. Changes hands at 2.2 pts toward the NNPSt. Patrick West: NDC. Changes hands at 4.1 pts toward the NNP
Seats that change hands are outlined. Boundaries are illustrative.

Tipping-point ladder

The swing each seat needs to change hands between the NDC and the NNP, from most secure NNP to most secure NDC. The rule under the eighth seat is where a majority is decided.

  1. FSt. David11.7 to NNP
  2. HSt. George North East10.1 to NNP
  3. LSt. George South7.6 to NNP
  4. KSt. George South East6.4 to NNP
  5. CSt. Andrew South West5.5 to NNP
  6. RSt. Patrick West4.1 to NNP
  7. PSt. Patrick East2.2 to NNP
  8. ACarriacou & Petite Martinique2.0 to NNP
  9. MSt. John0.1 to NNP
  10. ESt. Andrew North West1.8 to NDC
  11. BSt. Andrew South East3.3 to NDC
  12. DSt. Andrew North East4.0 to NDC
  13. GTown of St. George4.3 to NDC
  14. NSt. Mark9.6 to NDC
  15. JSt. George North West24.1 to NDC

At this swing: an NDC majority.

2 · Where the votes moved

Every polling division’s change in the NDC’s share of the two-party vote.

2018 → 2022

A06: +6.4 pts toward the NDCA01: +8.3 pts toward the NDCA07: +2.1 pts toward the NDCA10: -1.2 pts toward the NNPA09: +3.6 pts toward the NDCA05: +9.1 pts toward the NDCA08: +12.3 pts toward the NDCA04: +10.6 pts toward the NDCA02: +3.7 pts toward the NDCA03: +5.7 pts toward the NDCA11: -2.9 pts toward the NNPB08: +11.0 pts toward the NDCB09: +18.4 pts toward the NDCB01: +11.9 pts toward the NDCB06: +18.1 pts toward the NDCB04: +11.4 pts toward the NDCB07: +9.2 pts toward the NDCB05: +20.8 pts toward the NDCB03: +12.0 pts toward the NDCB10: +8.7 pts toward the NDCB02: +11.4 pts toward the NDCC01: +18.3 pts toward the NDCC02: +20.0 pts toward the NDCC04: +3.3 pts toward the NDCC12: +8.6 pts toward the NDCC05: +16.3 pts toward the NDCC03: +9.8 pts toward the NDCC06: +11.7 pts toward the NDCC09: +14.7 pts toward the NDCC10: +4.2 pts toward the NDCC14: +12.5 pts toward the NDCC08: +14.4 pts toward the NDCC07: +14.8 pts toward the NDCC11: +8.9 pts toward the NDCC13: +11.2 pts toward the NDCD07: +1.7 pts toward the NDCD06: +0.1 pts toward the NDCD02: +4.2 pts toward the NDCD01: +7.3 pts toward the NDCD04: -0.4 pts toward the NNPD03: +7.0 pts toward the NDCD05: +5.8 pts toward the NDCE06: +0.7 pts toward the NDCE07: +2.9 pts toward the NDCE03: +5.3 pts toward the NDCE04: +8.8 pts toward the NDCE01: +6.6 pts toward the NDCE02: +4.4 pts toward the NDCE05: +6.9 pts toward the NDCF12: +16.3 pts toward the NDCF09: +14.2 pts toward the NDCF08: +13.8 pts toward the NDCF02: +19.9 pts toward the NDCF06: +17.4 pts toward the NDCF03: +14.9 pts toward the NDCF11: +14.7 pts toward the NDCF10: +14.2 pts toward the NDCF01: +20.6 pts toward the NDCF07: +4.3 pts toward the NDCF04: +12.6 pts toward the NDCF05: +10.4 pts toward the NDCG04: +10.7 pts toward the NDCG07: +9.5 pts toward the NDCG01: +9.9 pts toward the NDCG02: +8.4 pts toward the NDCG06: +19.6 pts toward the NDCG03: +14.4 pts toward the NDCG05: +12.7 pts toward the NDCH09: +14.0 pts toward the NDCH07: +10.6 pts toward the NDCH08: +11.2 pts toward the NDCH05: +14.4 pts toward the NDCH06: +11.8 pts toward the NDCH04: +9.4 pts toward the NDCH03: +12.2 pts toward the NDCH01: +0.9 pts toward the NDCH02: +11.4 pts toward the NDCJ01: +13.0 pts toward the NDCJ03: +7.9 pts toward the NDCJ02: +12.8 pts toward the NDCJ06: +19.2 pts toward the NDCJ04: +11.9 pts toward the NDCJ07: +14.6 pts toward the NDCJ05: +8.9 pts toward the NDCK03: +15.6 pts toward the NDCK10: +15.0 pts toward the NDCK02: +11.1 pts toward the NDCK08: +15.5 pts toward the NDCK06: +19.2 pts toward the NDCK07: +21.6 pts toward the NDCK04: +16.3 pts toward the NDCK05: +11.6 pts toward the NDCK09: +10.8 pts toward the NDCK01: +11.0 pts toward the NDCL07: +16.4 pts toward the NDCL08: +14.8 pts toward the NDCL04: +14.9 pts toward the NDCL01: +13.3 pts toward the NDCL03: +15.6 pts toward the NDCL06: +14.5 pts toward the NDCL05: +11.7 pts toward the NDCL02: +8.3 pts toward the NDCM02: +10.3 pts toward the NDCM03: +9.2 pts toward the NDCM05: +14.1 pts toward the NDCM06: +9.0 pts toward the NDCM04: +7.0 pts toward the NDCM08: +10.3 pts toward the NDCM09: +12.4 pts toward the NDCM01: +8.3 pts toward the NDCM07: +3.3 pts toward the NDCN03: +14.9 pts toward the NDCN02: +11.0 pts toward the NDCN01: +13.0 pts toward the NDCN06: +8.8 pts toward the NDCN05: +12.8 pts toward the NDCN04: +12.2 pts toward the NDCP06: +10.3 pts toward the NDCP02: +5.8 pts toward the NDCP03: +11.9 pts toward the NDCP01: +9.2 pts toward the NDCP05: +4.3 pts toward the NDCP04: +10.2 pts toward the NDCR05: +18.7 pts toward the NDCR09: +14.8 pts toward the NDCR08: +11.0 pts toward the NDCR02: +5.3 pts toward the NDCR01: +9.5 pts toward the NDCR06: +10.6 pts toward the NDCR03: +9.9 pts toward the NDCR04: +12.5 pts toward the NDCR07: +9.7 pts toward the NDC
Gold: toward the NDC. Green: toward the NNP. Grey: no comparable result. Boundaries are illustrative.
Divisions compared
132
Toward the NDC
129
3 toward the NNP
Median swing
+11.1
points toward the NDC
A11 · Petite Martinique R.C. School: -2.9A10 · Harvey Vale Government School: -1.2D04 · Tivoli R.C. School: -0.4D06 · Upper St. John Community Centre: +0.1E06 · Sio's Bar, Birchgrove: +0.7H01 · Vendome R.C. School: +0.9D07 · Paraclete Medical Station: +1.7A07 · Hillsborough Police: +2.1E07 · Paul’s Bakery, Birchgrove Bamboo Bar, Birchgrove: +2.9M07 · Florida Government School: +3.3C04 · Walker Church of God: +3.3A09 · L’Esterre R.C. School: +3.6A02 · Bogles Community Centre: +3.7D02 · Belair Government School: +4.2C10 · Forde Pre-Primary School: +4.2P05 · St. Ann's Pre Primary School: +4.3F07 · St. David’s R.C. School: +4.3E02 · La Fillette R.C. School: +4.4R02 · Mt. Rich Pre Primary School: +5.3E03 · Byelands R. C. School: +5.3A03 · Dover Government School: +5.7P02 · Mt. Rose S.D.A. School: +5.8D05 · La Poterie Community Centre: +5.8A06 · Hillsborough Government School: +6.4E01 · Paraclete Government School: +6.6E05 · Mirabeau Agricultural Station: +6.9M04 · Grand Roy Government School: +7.0D03 · Grenada Christian Academy: +7.0D01 · The Orchid Lodge: +7.3J03 · Mt. Moritz Anglican School: +7.9M01 · St. John’s Anglican School: +8.3L02 · Springs Child Development Centre: +8.3A01 · Windward Medical Station: +8.3G02 · St. George's Anglican Senior School: +8.4C12 · Holy Innocents Anglican School: +8.6B10 · Hansel Japal’s (Down Stairs), Mamma Cannes: +8.7E04 · Paradise Medical Station: +8.8N06 · Samaritan Presbyterian School: +8.8C11 · Grenville Secondary School: +8.9J05 · Brizan Community Centre: +8.9M06 · Florida Medical Station: +9.0A05 · Top Hill Senior Citizens Home: +9.1P01 · Hermitage Government School: +9.2M03 · Gouyave Methodist Church: +9.2B07 · Grenada Baptist Church: +9.2H04 · Boca Secondary School: +9.4R01 · Hermitage Medical Station: +9.5G07 · St. George's SDA School, Archibald Avenue: +9.5R07 · Mt. Alexander Pentecostal Church, Prospect: +9.7C03 · Mt. Carmel Medical Station: +9.8R03 · TAMCC, St. Patrick's Campus: +9.9G01 · Magistrate’s Court #1: +9.9P04 · New Testament Church, Morne Fendue: +10.2M08 · Mt. Nesbit Community Centre: +10.3M02 · St. John’s R.C. School - Pre-School Department: +10.3P06 · St. Patrick’s Anglican School: +10.3F05 · St. Theresa’s R.C. School, Vincennes: +10.4A04 · Mt. Pleasant Government Community Centre: +10.6R06 · Fond Community Centre: +10.6H07 · St. Mary’s R. C. School, Tempe: +10.6G04 · Marryshow House: +10.7K09 · NADMA Building, Richmond Hill: +10.8K01 · Anglican High School: +11.0N02 · Victoria Pre Primary School: +11.0R08 · Chantimelle R. C. School: +11.0B08 · Crochu R.C. School: +11.0K02 · Springs Open Bible Church: +11.1C13 · St. James Community Centre: +11.2H08 · Alpha Junior School, Mt. Parnassus: +11.2B02 · St. Andrew Anglican Primary School: +11.4H02 · New Hampshire Medical Station: +11.4B04 · Post Royal Pre-School: +11.4K05 · Bethel Methodist Church Hall: +11.6C06 · Union Community Centre: +11.7L05 · The Church of Jesus Christ of Latter Day Saints: +11.7H06 · L.A. Purcell's Building, La Mode: +11.8P03 · River Sallee Government School: +11.9J04 · Happy Hill R.C. School: +11.9B01 · St. Andrew’s Anglican Secondary School: +11.9B03 · R & J’s Sports Bar, Soubise: +12.0H03 · Constantine Methodist School: +12.2N04 · St. Mark's Secondary School: +12.2A08 · TAMCC Campus, Brunswick: +12.3M09 · Clozier Community Centre: +12.4R04 · St. Patrick's R. C. School: +12.5C14 · Birchgrove Community Centre: +12.5F04 · Minorca Pre School, Windsor Forest: +12.6G05 · Norton's Hall, Church Street: +12.7J02 · Pier 57, Grand Mal: +12.8N05 · Mrs. De Allie's Residence, Duquesnse: +12.8J01 · Fontenoy Community Center: +13.0N01 · Maran Community Centre: +13.0L01 · South St. George Government School: +13.3F08 · Magistrate’s Court, St. David’s: +13.8H09 · St. Paul’s Government School: +14.0M05 · Concord Government School: +14.1F10 · Pomme Rose R. C. School: +14.2F09 · Berean Pre-School, Marlmount: +14.2G03 · National Stadium, River Road End: +14.4H05 · Beaulieu R.C. School: +14.4C08 · Harford Village Community Centre (upstairs): +14.4L06 · School for Special Education , The Limes: +14.5J07 · Willis Community Centre: +14.6C09 · Grand Bras Health Centre: +14.7F11 · Melting Pot, La Tante: +14.7R09 · Presbyterian Church Hall, Samaritan: +14.8C07 · Grenville Pre-Primary School, Cook Hill Road (upstairs): +14.8L08 · Calliste Government School: +14.8L04 · Woburn Methodist Church and Church Hall: +14.9F03 · St. Dominic’s R.C. School: +14.9N03 · Victoria Child Development Centre: +14.9K10 · Morne Jaloux R.C. School: +15.0K08 · Marian Multipurpose Centre: +15.5L03 · Woburn Community Centre: +15.6K03 · Calivigny Community Center: +15.6F12 · Westerhall Secondary School: +16.3K04 · St. Paul’s Anglican Church: +16.3C05 · Mr. Cuthbert Alexis’ Shop, Richmond: +16.3L07 · Blessed Sacrament R.C. School: +16.4F06 · Corinth Government School: +17.4B06 · St. Giles Anglican School: +18.1C01 · Munich R.C. School (downstairs): +18.3B09 · Crochu Skills Training Centre: +18.4R05 · St. Patrick's R. C. School: +18.7K06 · Mr. Stephen Gellineau’s Shop, Hope Vale: +19.2J06 · Anglican Church Building, Grenville Vale: +19.2G06 · Berean Christian Academy, Lucas Street: +19.6F02 · St. Dominic’s R.C. Church Centre: +19.9C02 · Munich R.C. School (downstairs): +20.0F01 · Communal Credit Union Building Perdmontemps: +20.6B05 · Marquis Pre-School: +20.8K07 · La Borie Community Centre: +21.6-30-150+15+30

Change in the NDC’s share of the two-party vote, in points. Values beyond ±30 sit at the edge.

2013 → 2018

A06: +12.8 pts toward the NDCA01: -3.6 pts toward the NNPA07: +9.0 pts toward the NDCA10: +15.6 pts toward the NDCA09: +10.2 pts toward the NDCA05: +1.6 pts toward the NDCA08: +11.5 pts toward the NDCA04: +0.2 pts toward the NDCA02: +10.7 pts toward the NDCA03: -2.2 pts toward the NNPA11: +0.0 pts toward the NDCB08: -5.0 pts toward the NNPB09: -3.0 pts toward the NNPB01: -8.4 pts toward the NNPB06: -7.4 pts toward the NNPB04: -0.1 pts toward the NNPB07: -0.6 pts toward the NNPB05: -2.6 pts toward the NNPB03: -5.6 pts toward the NNPB10: +2.9 pts toward the NDCB02: -8.6 pts toward the NNPC01: +1.3 pts toward the NDCC02: +5.4 pts toward the NDCC04: +4.6 pts toward the NDCC12: +0.5 pts toward the NDCC05: +1.7 pts toward the NDCC03: -0.6 pts toward the NNPC06: -3.0 pts toward the NNPC09: +3.6 pts toward the NDCC10: +2.0 pts toward the NDCC14: -3.9 pts toward the NNPC08: -3.4 pts toward the NNPC07: -4.9 pts toward the NNPC11: -2.7 pts toward the NNPC13: -6.6 pts toward the NNPD07: +1.3 pts toward the NDCD06: -3.9 pts toward the NNPD02: -3.5 pts toward the NNPD01: -4.5 pts toward the NNPD04: +1.1 pts toward the NDCD03: -2.9 pts toward the NNPD05: +1.0 pts toward the NDCE06: +5.6 pts toward the NDCE07: +5.3 pts toward the NDCE03: +2.6 pts toward the NDCE04: -9.6 pts toward the NNPE01: +1.4 pts toward the NDCE02: -5.1 pts toward the NNPE05: -1.9 pts toward the NNPF12: +4.0 pts toward the NDCF09: +2.7 pts toward the NDCF08: +4.5 pts toward the NDCF02: +3.8 pts toward the NDCF06: +1.6 pts toward the NDCF03: -2.1 pts toward the NNPF11: +3.5 pts toward the NDCF10: +3.4 pts toward the NDCF01: +4.6 pts toward the NDCF07: +6.3 pts toward the NDCF04: -0.2 pts toward the NNPF05: +4.0 pts toward the NDCG04: -11.5 pts toward the NNPG07: -14.9 pts toward the NNPG01: -1.4 pts toward the NNPG02: +0.2 pts toward the NDCG06: -6.4 pts toward the NNPG03: -7.3 pts toward the NNPG05: -3.7 pts toward the NNPH09: -6.1 pts toward the NNPH07: +1.5 pts toward the NDCH08: +2.5 pts toward the NDCH05: +0.2 pts toward the NDCH06: +5.6 pts toward the NDCH04: +0.7 pts toward the NDCH03: +0.0 pts toward the NDCH01: +1.6 pts toward the NDCH02: -0.5 pts toward the NNPJ01: +4.0 pts toward the NDCJ03: +7.8 pts toward the NDCJ02: +3.3 pts toward the NDCJ06: +4.8 pts toward the NDCJ04: +2.5 pts toward the NDCJ07: -3.5 pts toward the NNPJ05: +1.2 pts toward the NDCK03: +3.8 pts toward the NDCK10: -0.1 pts toward the NNPK02: +1.9 pts toward the NDCK08: +0.8 pts toward the NDCK06: -6.9 pts toward the NNPK07: -6.2 pts toward the NNPK04: -1.4 pts toward the NNPK05: -1.1 pts toward the NNPK09: -0.9 pts toward the NNPK01: -0.2 pts toward the NNPL07: +4.5 pts toward the NDCL08: +3.1 pts toward the NDCL04: +4.2 pts toward the NDCL01: +1.2 pts toward the NDCL03: +2.8 pts toward the NDCL06: +3.1 pts toward the NDCL05: +6.3 pts toward the NDCL02: -0.3 pts toward the NNPM02: -6.6 pts toward the NNPM03: -5.5 pts toward the NNPM05: -0.6 pts toward the NNPM06: -1.8 pts toward the NNPM04: +1.9 pts toward the NDCM08: -4.0 pts toward the NNPM09: -6.0 pts toward the NNPM01: -3.4 pts toward the NNPM07: -0.2 pts toward the NNPN03: -2.2 pts toward the NNPN02: +0.5 pts toward the NDCN01: -0.8 pts toward the NNPN06: -7.0 pts toward the NNPN05: -2.7 pts toward the NNPN04: -7.3 pts toward the NNPP06: -6.2 pts toward the NNPP02: -5.9 pts toward the NNPP03: -1.1 pts toward the NNPP01: -3.4 pts toward the NNPP05: -4.3 pts toward the NNPP04: -11.7 pts toward the NNPR05: -2.6 pts toward the NNPR09: +0.4 pts toward the NDCR08: -1.0 pts toward the NNPR02: -9.1 pts toward the NNPR01: -7.4 pts toward the NNPR06: +4.4 pts toward the NDCR03: -2.5 pts toward the NNPR04: -7.6 pts toward the NNPR07: -2.4 pts toward the NNP
Gold: toward the NDC. Green: toward the NNP. Grey: no comparable result. Boundaries are illustrative.
Divisions compared
132
Toward the NDC
62
70 toward the NNP
Median swing
-0.2
points toward the NNP
G07 · St. George's Anglican Senior School: -14.9P04 · New Testament Church, Morne Fendue: -11.7G04 · Marryshow House: -11.5E04 · Paradise Medical Station: -9.6R02 · Mt. Rich Pre Primary School: -9.1B02 · St. Andrew Anglican Primary School: -8.6B01 · St. Andrew’s Anglican Secondary School: -8.4R04 · St. Patrick's R. C. School: -7.6B06 · St. Giles Anglican School: -7.4R01 · Hermitage Medical Station: -7.4G03 · National Stadium, River Road End: -7.3N04 · St. Mark's Secondary School: -7.3N06 · Samaritan Presbyterian School: -7.0K06 · Mr. Stephen Gellineau’s Shop, Hope Vale: -6.9M02 · St. John’s R.C. School - Pre-School Department: -6.6C13 · St. James Community Centre: -6.6G06 · Berean Christian Academy, Lucas Street: -6.4P06 · St. Patrick’s Anglican School: -6.2K07 · La Borie Community Centre: -6.2H09 · St. Paul’s Government School: -6.1M09 · Clozier Community Centre: -6.0P02 · Mt. Rose S.D.A. School: -5.9B03 · R & J’s Sports Bar, Soubise: -5.6M03 · Gouyave Methodist Church: -5.5E02 · La Fillette R.C. School: -5.1B08 · Crochu R.C. School: -5.0C07 · Grenville Pre-Primary School, Cook Hill Road (up: -4.9D01 · The Orchid Lodge: -4.5P05 · St. Ann's Pre Primary School: -4.3M08 · Mt. Nesbit Community Centre: -4.0D06 · Upper St. John Community Centre: -3.9C14 · Birchgrove Community Centre: -3.9G05 · Parliamentary Elections Office, GUT Building: -3.7A01 · Windward Medical Station: -3.6D02 · Belair Government School: -3.5J07 · Willis Community Centre: -3.5P01 · Hermitage Government School: -3.4C08 · Harford Village Community Centre (upstairs): -3.4M01 · St. John’s Anglican School: -3.4C06 · Union Community Centre: -3.0B09 · Crochu Skills Training Centre: -3.0D03 · Pearls Community Centre: -2.9N05 · Mrs. De Allie's Residence, Duquesnse: -2.7C11 · Grenville Secondary School: -2.7R05 · Mac Donald College: -2.6B05 · Marquis Pre-School: -2.6R03 · TAMCC, St. Patrick's Campus: -2.5R07 · Mt. Alexander Pentecostal Church, Prospect: -2.4A03 · Dover Government School: -2.2N03 · Victoria Hotel: -2.2F03 · St. Dominic’s R.C. School: -2.1E05 · Mirabeau Agricultural Station: -1.9M06 · Florida Medical Station: -1.8G01 · Magistrate’s Court #1: -1.4K04 · St. Paul’s Anglican Pre-School: -1.4P03 · Mt. Rose S.D.A. School: -1.1K05 · Bethel Methodist Church Hall: -1.1R08 · Chantimelle R. C. School: -1.0K09 · NADMA Building, Richmond Hill: -0.9N01 · Maran Community Centre: -0.8M05 · Concord Government School: -0.6C03 · Mt. Carmel Medical Station: -0.6B07 · Grenada Baptist Church: -0.6H02 · New Hampshire Medical Station: -0.5L02 · Springs Child Development Centre: -0.3K01 · Anglican High School: -0.2M07 · Cocoa Grove Community Centre: -0.2F04 · Windsor Forest Pre School: -0.2B04 · Post Royal Pre-School: -0.1K10 · Morne Jaloux R.C. School: -0.1A11 · Petite Martinique R.C. School: +0.0H03 · Constantine Methodist School: +0.0H05 · Beaulieu R.C. School: +0.2G02 · St. George's Anglican Senior School: +0.2A04 · Mt. Pleasant Government Community Centre: +0.2R09 · Presbyterian Church Hall, Samaritan: +0.4C12 · Holy Innocents Anglican School: +0.5N02 · Victoria Pre Primary School: +0.5H04 · Boca Secondary School: +0.7K08 · Marian Multipurpose Centre: +0.8D05 · La Poterie Community Centre: +1.0D04 · Tivoli R.C. School: +1.1L01 · South St. George Government School: +1.2J05 · Brizan Community Centre: +1.2D07 · Paraclete Medical Station: +1.3C01 · Munich R.C. School (downstairs): +1.3E01 · Paraclete Government School: +1.4H07 · St. Mary’s R. C. School, Tempe: +1.5A05 · Top Hill Senior Cotizens Home: +1.6F06 · Corinth Government School: +1.6H01 · Vendome Community Centre: +1.6C05 · Mr. Cuthbert Alexis’ Shop, Richmond: +1.7M04 · Grand Roy Government School: +1.9K02 · Springs Open Bible Church: +1.9C10 · Forde Pre-Primary School: +2.0H08 · Alpha Junior School, Mt. Parnassus: +2.5J04 · Happy Hill R.C. School: +2.5E03 · Byelands R. C. School: +2.6F09 · Berean Pre-School, Marlmount: +2.7L03 · Woburn Community Centre: +2.8B10 · Hansel Japal’s (Down Stairs), Mamma Cannes: +2.9L08 · Calliste Government School: +3.1L06 · School for Special Education , The Limes: +3.1J02 · La Qua Building: +3.3F10 · Pomme Rose R. C. School: +3.4F11 · Melting Pot, La Tante: +3.5C09 · Grand Bras Health Centre: +3.6F02 · St. Dominic’s R.C. Church Centre: +3.8K03 · Calivigny Community Center: +3.8J01 · Fontenoy Community Center: +4.0F05 · St. Theresa’s R.C. School, Vincennes: +4.0F12 · Westerhall Secondary School: +4.0L04 · Woburn Methodist Church and Church Hall: +4.2R06 · Fond Community Centre: +4.4F08 · Magistrate’s Court, St. David’s: +4.5L07 · Sandino Plant: +4.5F01 · Perdmontemps Health Centre: +4.6C04 · Walker Church of God: +4.6J06 · St. Luke’s Anglican Church: +4.8E07 · Paul"s Bakery, Birchgrove: +5.3C02 · Munich R.C. School (downstairs): +5.4H06 · L.A. Purcell's Building, La Mode: +5.6E06 · Sio's Bar, Birchgrove: +5.6L05 · The Church of Jesus Christ of Latter Day Saints: +6.3F07 · St. David’s R.C. School: +6.3J03 · Mt. Moritz Anglican School: +7.8A07 · Hillsborough Police Station: +9.0A09 · L’Esterre R.C. School: +10.2A02 · Bogles Community Centre: +10.7A08 · TAMCC Campus, Brunswick: +11.5A06 · Hillsborough Government School: +12.8A10 · Harvey Vale Governmnet School: +15.6-30-150+15+30

Change in the NDC’s share of the two-party vote, in points. Values beyond ±30 sit at the edge.

Knife-edge divisions

The closest NDC–NNP contests in any polling division, 2013–2022

ElectionDivisionNDCNNPGap
2018K09 NADMA Building, Richmond HillSt. George South East1001000
2013G06 Berean Christian Academy, Lucas StreetTown of St. George1161151
2013M08 Mt. Nesbit Community CentreSt. John2082071
2018F08 Magistrate’s Court, St. David’sSt. David2822831
2018L03 Woburn Community CentreSt. George South1851861
2022C07 Grenville Pre-Primary School, Cook Hill Road (upstairs)St. Andrew South West3013021
2013G07 St. George's Anglican Senior SchoolTown of St. George12102
2018A09 L’Esterre R.C. SchoolCarriacou & Petite Martinique2732752
2022F09 Berean Pre-School, MarlmountSt. David2092072
2022H01 Vendome R.C. SchoolSt. George North East1591572
2018F12 Westerhall Secondary SchoolSt. David4294263
2018M01 St. John’s Anglican SchoolSt. John2132163

3 · Votes versus seats

Under first past the post, the winning party’s share of seats usually runs far ahead of its share of votes. Three times since 1999 one party has won every seat.

0%25%50%75%100%1972GULP1972, Grenada United Labour Party: 58.9% of the vote, 87% of the seats1976GULP1976, Grenada United Labour Party: 51.7% of the vote, 60% of the seats1984NNP1984, New National Party: 58.6% of the vote, 93% of the seats1990NDC1990, National Democratic Congress: 34.6% of the vote, 47% of the seats1995NNP1995, New National Party: 32.4% of the vote, 53% of the seats1999NNP · clean sweep1999, New National Party: 62.5% of the vote, 100% of the seats2003NNP2003, New National Party: 46.6% of the vote, 53% of the seats2008NDC2008, National Democratic Congress: 51.2% of the vote, 73% of the seats2013NNP · clean sweep2013, New National Party: 58.7% of the vote, 100% of the seats2018NNP · clean sweep2018, New National Party: 58.9% of the vote, 100% of the seats2022NDC2022, National Democratic Congress: 51.8% of the vote, 60% of the seats
Hollow dot: vote share. Filled dot: seat share. 1976 votes are from a secondary source.

How unequal the result was

Gallagher disproportionality index (0 means seats exactly match votes). Above about 15 is very high internationally.

  • 197227.8
  • 19767.5
  • 198432.3
  • 19909.6
  • 199518.3
  • 199933.0
  • 20036.0
  • 200821.7
  • 201341.0
  • 201840.8
  • 20228.0

4 · Do close contests bring out voters?

Each dot is a polling division: its turnout against its winning margin.

2013
40%60%80%100%04080A01: turnout 86.1%, margin 17 pts (NNP)A02: turnout 84.6%, margin 12 pts (NNP)A03: turnout 83.7%, margin 5 pts (NNP)A04: turnout 86.1%, margin 7 pts (NDC)A05: turnout 92.1%, margin 23 pts (NNP)A06: turnout 87.7%, margin 8 pts (NNP)A07: turnout 92.6%, margin 27 pts (NNP)A08: turnout 89.1%, margin 53 pts (NNP)A09: turnout 87.1%, margin 21 pts (NNP)A10: turnout 81.9%, margin 32 pts (NNP)A11: turnout 87.1%, margin 5 pts (NNP)B01: turnout 91.4%, margin 13 pts (NNP)B02: turnout 89.7%, margin 1 pts (NDC)B03: turnout 88.8%, margin 20 pts (NNP)B04: turnout 94.8%, margin 38 pts (NNP)B05: turnout 92.1%, margin 41 pts (NNP)B06: turnout 90.8%, margin 16 pts (NNP)B07: turnout 90.9%, margin 44 pts (NNP)B08: turnout 94.9%, margin 42 pts (NNP)B09: turnout 92.5%, margin 27 pts (NNP)B10: turnout 92.4%, margin 46 pts (NNP)C01: turnout 84.7%, margin 26 pts (NNP)C02: turnout 92.4%, margin 40 pts (NNP)C03: turnout 90.3%, margin 4 pts (NDC)C04: turnout 93.8%, margin 34 pts (NNP)C05: turnout 91.0%, margin 29 pts (NNP)C06: turnout 83.4%, margin 26 pts (NNP)C07: turnout 86.4%, margin 20 pts (NNP)C08: turnout 88.8%, margin 4 pts (NDC)C09: turnout 88.3%, margin 6 pts (NDC)C10: turnout 91.2%, margin 4 pts (NDC)C11: turnout 83.8%, margin 5 pts (NNP)C12: turnout 86.2%, margin 12 pts (NNP)C13: turnout 86.4%, margin 5 pts (NDC)C14: turnout 87.5%, margin 21 pts (NNP)D01: turnout 88.5%, margin 26 pts (NNP)D02: turnout 87.7%, margin 3 pts (NDC)D03: turnout 90.5%, margin 23 pts (NNP)D04: turnout 89.2%, margin 3 pts (NDC)D05: turnout 94.3%, margin 49 pts (NNP)D06: turnout 92.0%, margin 5 pts (NDC)D07: turnout 88.9%, margin 11 pts (NDC)E01: turnout 96.4%, margin 48 pts (NNP)E02: turnout 91.1%, margin 10 pts (NNP)E03: turnout 91.8%, margin 15 pts (NNP)E04: turnout 91.4%, margin 15 pts (NDC)E05: turnout 89.3%, margin 14 pts (NNP)E06: turnout 90.7%, margin 17 pts (NNP)E07: turnout 92.6%, margin 8 pts (NNP)F01: turnout 88.6%, margin 25 pts (NNP)F02: turnout 90.6%, margin 20 pts (NNP)F03: turnout 90.4%, margin 4 pts (NNP)F04: turnout 91.5%, margin 3 pts (NNP)F05: turnout 89.5%, margin 1 pts (NNP)F06: turnout 89.9%, margin 12 pts (NNP)F07: turnout 90.1%, margin 22 pts (NDC)F08: turnout 87.5%, margin 9 pts (NNP)F09: turnout 87.0%, margin 33 pts (NNP)F10: turnout 92.2%, margin 29 pts (NNP)F11: turnout 87.4%, margin 23 pts (NNP)F12: turnout 88.9%, margin 8 pts (NNP)G01: turnout 84.5%, margin 11 pts (NNP)G02: turnout 87.6%, margin 22 pts (NNP)G03: turnout 87.2%, margin 33 pts (NNP)G04: turnout 90.2%, margin 18 pts (NNP)G05: turnout 84.3%, margin 5 pts (NNP)G06: turnout 85.9%, margin 0 pts (NDC)G07: turnout 88.0%, margin 9 pts (NDC)G08: turnout 86.0%, margin 3 pts (NNP)G09: turnout 80.8%, margin 43 pts (NNP)H01: turnout 91.2%, margin 5 pts (NNP)H02: turnout 87.1%, margin 12 pts (NNP)H03: turnout 92.5%, margin 31 pts (NNP)H04: turnout 89.8%, margin 13 pts (NDC)H05: turnout 87.6%, margin 14 pts (NNP)H06: turnout 87.1%, margin 7 pts (NNP)H07: turnout 86.2%, margin 6 pts (NNP)H08: turnout 87.0%, margin 7 pts (NDC)H09: turnout 89.4%, margin 8 pts (NDC)J01: turnout 91.7%, margin 78 pts (NNP)J02: turnout 89.2%, margin 86 pts (NNP)J03: turnout 85.6%, margin 67 pts (NNP)J04: turnout 86.9%, margin 89 pts (NNP)J05: turnout 88.2%, margin 85 pts (NNP)J06: turnout 93.8%, margin 53 pts (NNP)J07: turnout 88.2%, margin 28 pts (NNP)K01: turnout 90.0%, margin 38 pts (NNP)K02: turnout 89.2%, margin 23 pts (NNP)K03: turnout 89.6%, margin 3 pts (NNP)K04: turnout 85.4%, margin 6 pts (NNP)K05: turnout 86.6%, margin 12 pts (NNP)K06: turnout 86.8%, margin 4 pts (NDC)K07: turnout 90.0%, margin 27 pts (NNP)K08: turnout 88.0%, margin 21 pts (NNP)K09: turnout 90.3%, margin 2 pts (NDC)K10: turnout 86.7%, margin 19 pts (NNP)L01: turnout 86.0%, margin 14 pts (NNP)L02: turnout 80.5%, margin 3 pts (NNP)L03: turnout 90.5%, margin 5 pts (NNP)L04: turnout 86.8%, margin 22 pts (NNP)L05: turnout 87.1%, margin 7 pts (NNP)L06: turnout 85.0%, margin 19 pts (NNP)L07: turnout 84.6%, margin 32 pts (NNP)L08: turnout 85.2%, margin 22 pts (NNP)M01: turnout 89.8%, margin 6 pts (NDC)M02: turnout 87.4%, margin 7 pts (NDC)M03: turnout 89.3%, margin 6 pts (NNP)M04: turnout 88.4%, margin 21 pts (NNP)M05: turnout 89.6%, margin 42 pts (NNP)M06: turnout 86.3%, margin 39 pts (NNP)M07: turnout 84.8%, margin 7 pts (NNP)M08: turnout 88.5%, margin 0 pts (NDC)M09: turnout 91.7%, margin 33 pts (NNP)N01: turnout 87.8%, margin 46 pts (NNP)N02: turnout 89.4%, margin 38 pts (NNP)N03: turnout 88.5%, margin 33 pts (NNP)N04: turnout 88.6%, margin 36 pts (NNP)N05: turnout 89.2%, margin 46 pts (NNP)N06: turnout 89.1%, margin 26 pts (NNP)P01: turnout 96.1%, margin 11 pts (NDC)P02: turnout 90.1%, margin 23 pts (NDC)P03: turnout 90.9%, margin 33 pts (NNP)P04: turnout 86.2%, margin 13 pts (NDC)P05: turnout 90.0%, margin 12 pts (NNP)P06: turnout 89.1%, margin 11 pts (NDC)R01: turnout 93.3%, margin 9 pts (NNP)R02: turnout 93.0%, margin 9 pts (NDC)R03: turnout 90.2%, margin 7 pts (NDC)R04: turnout 85.1%, margin 32 pts (NDC)R05: turnout 92.5%, margin 19 pts (NNP)R06: turnout 89.3%, margin 21 pts (NNP)R07: turnout 91.1%, margin 19 pts (NNP)R08: turnout 91.0%, margin 26 pts (NNP)R09: turnout 88.6%, margin 8 pts (NNP)
2018
40%60%80%100%04080A01: turnout 68.0%, margin 24 pts (NNP)A02: turnout 68.3%, margin 9 pts (NDC)A03: turnout 72.4%, margin 9 pts (NNP)A04: turnout 69.4%, margin 8 pts (NDC)A05: turnout 72.0%, margin 20 pts (NNP)A06: turnout 72.5%, margin 18 pts (NDC)A07: turnout 71.7%, margin 9 pts (NNP)A08: turnout 69.8%, margin 30 pts (NNP)A09: turnout 74.5%, margin 0 pts (NNP)A10: turnout 69.7%, margin 1 pts (NNP)A11: turnout 73.6%, margin 5 pts (NNP)B01: turnout 75.9%, margin 30 pts (NNP)B02: turnout 71.7%, margin 16 pts (NNP)B03: turnout 72.5%, margin 31 pts (NNP)B04: turnout 76.3%, margin 38 pts (NNP)B05: turnout 79.7%, margin 46 pts (NNP)B06: turnout 76.7%, margin 30 pts (NNP)B07: turnout 72.1%, margin 45 pts (NNP)B08: turnout 82.4%, margin 52 pts (NNP)B09: turnout 76.0%, margin 33 pts (NNP)B10: turnout 85.0%, margin 40 pts (NNP)C01: turnout 69.7%, margin 23 pts (NNP)C02: turnout 68.6%, margin 29 pts (NNP)C03: turnout 74.0%, margin 3 pts (NDC)C04: turnout 78.1%, margin 25 pts (NNP)C05: turnout 78.2%, margin 26 pts (NNP)C06: turnout 73.8%, margin 32 pts (NNP)C07: turnout 75.8%, margin 30 pts (NNP)C08: turnout 73.9%, margin 2 pts (NNP)C09: turnout 72.1%, margin 13 pts (NDC)C10: turnout 73.7%, margin 7 pts (NDC)C11: turnout 72.3%, margin 10 pts (NNP)C12: turnout 69.0%, margin 11 pts (NNP)C13: turnout 74.7%, margin 8 pts (NNP)C14: turnout 75.3%, margin 29 pts (NNP)D01: turnout 80.0%, margin 35 pts (NNP)D02: turnout 78.0%, margin 4 pts (NNP)D03: turnout 83.2%, margin 29 pts (NNP)D04: turnout 78.5%, margin 5 pts (NDC)D05: turnout 82.0%, margin 47 pts (NNP)D06: turnout 84.9%, margin 3 pts (NNP)D07: turnout 87.1%, margin 14 pts (NDC)E01: turnout 79.4%, margin 46 pts (NNP)E02: turnout 81.9%, margin 20 pts (NNP)E03: turnout 79.6%, margin 10 pts (NNP)E04: turnout 77.2%, margin 4 pts (NNP)E05: turnout 77.2%, margin 18 pts (NNP)E06: turnout 80.6%, margin 6 pts (NNP)E07: turnout 81.1%, margin 2 pts (NDC)F01: turnout 73.7%, margin 15 pts (NNP)F02: turnout 74.8%, margin 13 pts (NNP)F03: turnout 75.7%, margin 8 pts (NNP)F04: turnout 78.3%, margin 3 pts (NNP)F05: turnout 77.1%, margin 7 pts (NDC)F06: turnout 75.0%, margin 9 pts (NNP)F07: turnout 75.5%, margin 34 pts (NDC)F08: turnout 71.3%, margin 0 pts (NNP)F09: turnout 71.5%, margin 28 pts (NNP)F10: turnout 76.4%, margin 23 pts (NNP)F11: turnout 68.9%, margin 16 pts (NNP)F12: turnout 70.4%, margin 0 pts (NDC)G01: turnout 63.2%, margin 14 pts (NNP)G02: turnout 69.2%, margin 22 pts (NNP)G03: turnout 76.5%, margin 46 pts (NNP)G04: turnout 75.7%, margin 40 pts (NNP)G05: turnout 68.7%, margin 12 pts (NNP)G06: turnout 61.6%, margin 12 pts (NNP)G07: turnout 69.2%, margin 20 pts (NNP)H01: turnout 78.5%, margin 1 pts (NNP)H02: turnout 74.4%, margin 13 pts (NNP)H03: turnout 84.8%, margin 31 pts (NNP)H04: turnout 76.7%, margin 14 pts (NDC)H05: turnout 77.2%, margin 13 pts (NNP)H06: turnout 73.0%, margin 4 pts (NDC)H07: turnout 70.5%, margin 3 pts (NNP)H08: turnout 72.0%, margin 12 pts (NDC)H09: turnout 70.6%, margin 4 pts (NNP)J01: turnout 71.2%, margin 70 pts (NNP)J02: turnout 70.3%, margin 79 pts (NNP)J03: turnout 76.2%, margin 52 pts (NNP)J04: turnout 68.0%, margin 84 pts (NNP)J05: turnout 74.6%, margin 84 pts (NNP)J06: turnout 79.0%, margin 44 pts (NNP)J07: turnout 74.6%, margin 35 pts (NNP)K01: turnout 69.0%, margin 38 pts (NNP)K02: turnout 71.8%, margin 19 pts (NNP)K03: turnout 72.0%, margin 5 pts (NDC)K04: turnout 72.2%, margin 9 pts (NNP)K05: turnout 71.4%, margin 14 pts (NNP)K06: turnout 75.3%, margin 10 pts (NNP)K07: turnout 75.8%, margin 40 pts (NNP)K08: turnout 72.3%, margin 19 pts (NNP)K09: turnout 67.2%, margin 0 pts (NDC)K10: turnout 69.2%, margin 20 pts (NNP)L01: turnout 67.3%, margin 12 pts (NNP)L02: turnout 60.5%, margin 3 pts (NNP)L03: turnout 67.2%, margin 0 pts (NNP)L04: turnout 67.7%, margin 13 pts (NNP)L05: turnout 68.8%, margin 5 pts (NDC)L06: turnout 67.1%, margin 13 pts (NNP)L07: turnout 65.2%, margin 23 pts (NNP)L08: turnout 68.7%, margin 16 pts (NNP)M01: turnout 74.6%, margin 1 pts (NNP)M02: turnout 70.6%, margin 7 pts (NNP)M03: turnout 74.4%, margin 18 pts (NNP)M04: turnout 72.4%, margin 17 pts (NNP)M05: turnout 73.8%, margin 43 pts (NNP)M06: turnout 76.6%, margin 42 pts (NNP)M07: turnout 71.0%, margin 7 pts (NNP)M08: turnout 73.7%, margin 8 pts (NNP)M09: turnout 77.8%, margin 45 pts (NNP)N01: turnout 72.2%, margin 48 pts (NNP)N02: turnout 71.7%, margin 37 pts (NNP)N03: turnout 69.9%, margin 37 pts (NNP)N04: turnout 67.0%, margin 51 pts (NNP)N05: turnout 70.3%, margin 52 pts (NNP)N06: turnout 70.8%, margin 40 pts (NNP)P01: turnout 82.6%, margin 4 pts (NDC)P02: turnout 79.2%, margin 12 pts (NDC)P03: turnout 78.5%, margin 35 pts (NNP)P04: turnout 69.9%, margin 11 pts (NNP)P05: turnout 77.9%, margin 21 pts (NNP)P06: turnout 77.1%, margin 2 pts (NNP)R01: turnout 79.9%, margin 24 pts (NNP)R02: turnout 82.2%, margin 9 pts (NNP)R03: turnout 72.2%, margin 2 pts (NDC)R04: turnout 68.2%, margin 17 pts (NDC)R05: turnout 74.7%, margin 24 pts (NNP)R06: turnout 78.1%, margin 12 pts (NNP)R07: turnout 77.5%, margin 24 pts (NNP)R08: turnout 80.9%, margin 28 pts (NNP)R09: turnout 83.6%, margin 8 pts (NNP)
2022
40%60%80%100%04080A01: turnout 72.5%, margin 7 pts (NNP)A02: turnout 67.4%, margin 16 pts (NDC)A03: turnout 71.1%, margin 2 pts (NDC)A04: turnout 64.8%, margin 29 pts (NDC)A05: turnout 67.9%, margin 2 pts (NNP)A06: turnout 70.1%, margin 31 pts (NDC)A08: turnout 67.8%, margin 6 pts (NNP)A09: turnout 71.5%, margin 7 pts (NDC)A10: turnout 66.4%, margin 3 pts (NNP)A11: turnout 73.5%, margin 11 pts (NNP)B01: turnout 69.5%, margin 6 pts (NNP)B02: turnout 69.1%, margin 7 pts (NDC)B03: turnout 69.8%, margin 7 pts (NNP)B04: turnout 69.8%, margin 15 pts (NNP)B05: turnout 75.9%, margin 4 pts (NNP)B06: turnout 73.3%, margin 6 pts (NDC)B07: turnout 73.9%, margin 27 pts (NNP)B08: turnout 77.2%, margin 30 pts (NNP)B09: turnout 75.6%, margin 4 pts (NDC)B10: turnout 81.3%, margin 23 pts (NNP)C01: turnout 60.5%, margin 13 pts (NDC)C02: turnout 72.8%, margin 11 pts (NDC)C03: turnout 76.3%, margin 23 pts (NDC)C04: turnout 82.0%, margin 19 pts (NNP)C05: turnout 74.1%, margin 7 pts (NDC)C06: turnout 70.0%, margin 9 pts (NNP)C07: turnout 71.6%, margin 0 pts (NNP)C08: turnout 69.8%, margin 26 pts (NDC)C09: turnout 71.1%, margin 43 pts (NDC)C10: turnout 71.0%, margin 16 pts (NDC)C11: turnout 66.8%, margin 7 pts (NDC)C12: turnout 67.5%, margin 6 pts (NDC)C13: turnout 78.3%, margin 14 pts (NDC)C14: turnout 72.2%, margin 4 pts (NNP)D01: turnout 74.3%, margin 20 pts (NNP)D02: turnout 71.3%, margin 4 pts (NDC)D03: turnout 75.6%, margin 15 pts (NNP)D04: turnout 72.7%, margin 4 pts (NDC)D05: turnout 76.5%, margin 35 pts (NNP)D06: turnout 80.4%, margin 2 pts (NNP)D07: turnout 80.0%, margin 17 pts (NDC)E01: turnout 73.9%, margin 33 pts (NNP)E02: turnout 78.3%, margin 12 pts (NNP)E03: turnout 74.2%, margin 1 pts (NDC)E04: turnout 76.4%, margin 13 pts (NDC)E05: turnout 72.5%, margin 4 pts (NNP)E06: turnout 73.2%, margin 5 pts (NNP)E07: turnout 76.8%, margin 8 pts (NDC)F01: turnout 69.8%, margin 26 pts (NDC)F02: turnout 72.3%, margin 27 pts (NDC)F03: turnout 72.5%, margin 21 pts (NDC)F04: turnout 77.4%, margin 22 pts (NDC)F05: turnout 75.4%, margin 28 pts (NDC)F06: turnout 71.7%, margin 26 pts (NDC)F07: turnout 69.7%, margin 43 pts (NDC)F08: turnout 71.3%, margin 27 pts (NDC)F09: turnout 71.0%, margin 0 pts (NDC)F10: turnout 76.9%, margin 6 pts (NDC)F11: turnout 68.7%, margin 13 pts (NDC)F12: turnout 67.9%, margin 33 pts (NDC)G01: turnout 55.4%, margin 6 pts (NDC)G02: turnout 63.4%, margin 5 pts (NNP)G03: turnout 67.8%, margin 19 pts (NNP)G04: turnout 66.8%, margin 19 pts (NNP)G05: turnout 66.3%, margin 13 pts (NDC)G06: turnout 55.5%, margin 27 pts (NDC)G07: turnout 60.6%, margin 2 pts (NNP)H01: turnout 72.4%, margin 1 pts (NDC)H02: turnout 70.1%, margin 10 pts (NDC)H03: turnout 76.6%, margin 6 pts (NNP)H04: turnout 71.0%, margin 33 pts (NDC)H05: turnout 71.4%, margin 15 pts (NDC)H06: turnout 70.5%, margin 28 pts (NDC)H07: turnout 64.8%, margin 18 pts (NDC)H08: turnout 68.5%, margin 34 pts (NDC)H09: turnout 68.9%, margin 24 pts (NDC)J01: turnout 66.1%, margin 44 pts (NNP)J02: turnout 62.2%, margin 54 pts (NNP)J03: turnout 61.1%, margin 36 pts (NNP)J04: turnout 65.6%, margin 60 pts (NNP)J05: turnout 69.5%, margin 67 pts (NNP)J06: turnout 78.6%, margin 5 pts (NNP)J07: turnout 69.8%, margin 6 pts (NNP)K01: turnout 65.5%, margin 16 pts (NNP)K02: turnout 68.6%, margin 3 pts (NDC)K03: turnout 67.3%, margin 36 pts (NDC)K04: turnout 71.3%, margin 23 pts (NDC)K05: turnout 67.1%, margin 9 pts (NDC)K06: turnout 69.6%, margin 28 pts (NDC)K07: turnout 73.2%, margin 3 pts (NDC)K08: turnout 72.2%, margin 12 pts (NDC)K09: turnout 66.9%, margin 21 pts (NDC)K10: turnout 66.3%, margin 10 pts (NDC)L01: turnout 64.3%, margin 14 pts (NDC)L02: turnout 55.7%, margin 14 pts (NDC)L03: turnout 69.3%, margin 31 pts (NDC)L04: turnout 65.7%, margin 16 pts (NDC)L05: turnout 66.4%, margin 29 pts (NDC)L06: turnout 61.7%, margin 16 pts (NDC)L07: turnout 61.7%, margin 9 pts (NDC)L08: turnout 79.5%, margin 14 pts (NDC)M01: turnout 72.8%, margin 16 pts (NDC)M02: turnout 66.7%, margin 14 pts (NDC)M03: turnout 67.3%, margin 1 pts (NDC)M04: turnout 67.4%, margin 3 pts (NNP)M05: turnout 65.4%, margin 15 pts (NNP)M06: turnout 73.7%, margin 24 pts (NNP)M07: turnout 70.1%, margin 0 pts (NNP)M08: turnout 72.4%, margin 13 pts (NDC)M09: turnout 76.4%, margin 20 pts (NNP)N01: turnout 66.8%, margin 22 pts (NNP)N02: turnout 69.5%, margin 15 pts (NNP)N03: turnout 67.1%, margin 7 pts (NNP)N04: turnout 63.2%, margin 26 pts (NNP)N05: turnout 66.3%, margin 26 pts (NNP)N06: turnout 69.5%, margin 22 pts (NNP)P01: turnout 76.5%, margin 22 pts (NDC)P02: turnout 71.8%, margin 23 pts (NDC)P03: turnout 72.4%, margin 12 pts (NNP)P04: turnout 66.3%, margin 9 pts (NDC)P05: turnout 68.1%, margin 12 pts (NNP)P06: turnout 63.2%, margin 19 pts (NDC)R01: turnout 75.6%, margin 5 pts (NNP)R02: turnout 77.2%, margin 2 pts (NDC)R03: turnout 67.6%, margin 22 pts (NDC)R04: turnout 61.9%, margin 41 pts (NDC)R05: turnout 62.0%, margin 13 pts (NDC)R06: turnout 70.0%, margin 9 pts (NDC)R07: turnout 74.2%, margin 4 pts (NNP)R08: turnout 73.5%, margin 6 pts (NNP)R09: turnout 70.1%, margin 20 pts (NDC)

Across: winning margin in points. Up: turnout. Colour: the division’s winner.

5 · Did referendums follow party lines?

Each dot is a polling division: the Yes share in a referendum against the NDC’s share of the two-party vote at the nearest general election.

2016 referendum vs 2013 election
A01: Yes 44.4%, NDC 41.7% of the two-party voteA02: Yes 46.9%, NDC 43.7% of the two-party voteA03: Yes 34.1%, NDC 47.7% of the two-party voteA04: Yes 34.4%, NDC 53.8% of the two-party voteA05: Yes 44.4%, NDC 38.4% of the two-party voteA06: Yes 27.1%, NDC 46.1% of the two-party voteA07: Yes 38.9%, NDC 36.6% of the two-party voteA08: Yes 43.1%, NDC 23.3% of the two-party voteA09: Yes 40.0%, NDC 39.7% of the two-party voteA10: Yes 39.4%, NDC 33.9% of the two-party voteA11: Yes 24.7%, NDC 47.5% of the two-party voteB01: Yes 33.2%, NDC 43.4% of the two-party voteB02: Yes 21.4%, NDC 50.5% of the two-party voteB03: Yes 46.0%, NDC 40.2% of the two-party voteB04: Yes 38.6%, NDC 31.2% of the two-party voteB05: Yes 33.8%, NDC 29.6% of the two-party voteB06: Yes 31.1%, NDC 42.2% of the two-party voteB07: Yes 32.9%, NDC 27.8% of the two-party voteB08: Yes 41.4%, NDC 29.2% of the two-party voteB09: Yes 42.2%, NDC 36.4% of the two-party voteB10: Yes 36.0%, NDC 27.0% of the two-party voteC01: Yes 36.2%, NDC 37.1% of the two-party voteC02: Yes 31.1%, NDC 30.0% of the two-party voteC03: Yes 20.7%, NDC 52.2% of the two-party voteC04: Yes 30.2%, NDC 32.8% of the two-party voteC05: Yes 33.8%, NDC 35.4% of the two-party voteC06: Yes 38.4%, NDC 36.8% of the two-party voteC07: Yes 40.2%, NDC 40.0% of the two-party voteC08: Yes 24.5%, NDC 52.1% of the two-party voteC09: Yes 23.9%, NDC 53.1% of the two-party voteC10: Yes 25.8%, NDC 51.8% of the two-party voteC11: Yes 26.7%, NDC 47.5% of the two-party voteC12: Yes 34.2%, NDC 44.2% of the two-party voteC13: Yes 25.4%, NDC 52.6% of the two-party voteC14: Yes 43.8%, NDC 39.3% of the two-party voteD01: Yes 31.4%, NDC 37.0% of the two-party voteD02: Yes 29.4%, NDC 51.5% of the two-party voteD03: Yes 30.1%, NDC 38.4% of the two-party voteD04: Yes 31.8%, NDC 51.5% of the two-party voteD05: Yes 45.3%, NDC 25.7% of the two-party voteD06: Yes 18.0%, NDC 52.6% of the two-party voteD07: Yes 19.9%, NDC 55.7% of the two-party voteE01: Yes 46.8%, NDC 25.8% of the two-party voteE02: Yes 30.0%, NDC 44.9% of the two-party voteE03: Yes 20.3%, NDC 42.6% of the two-party voteE04: Yes 28.8%, NDC 57.4% of the two-party voteE05: Yes 28.1%, NDC 43.0% of the two-party voteE06: Yes 26.0%, NDC 41.3% of the two-party voteE07: Yes 28.0%, NDC 45.8% of the two-party voteF01: Yes 34.9%, NDC 37.6% of the two-party voteF02: Yes 33.2%, NDC 39.8% of the two-party voteF03: Yes 28.7%, NDC 47.9% of the two-party voteF04: Yes 29.3%, NDC 48.6% of the two-party voteF05: Yes 29.9%, NDC 49.5% of the two-party voteF06: Yes 26.3%, NDC 44.1% of the two-party voteF07: Yes 21.9%, NDC 60.8% of the two-party voteF08: Yes 32.1%, NDC 45.4% of the two-party voteF09: Yes 27.3%, NDC 33.3% of the two-party voteF10: Yes 27.6%, NDC 35.3% of the two-party voteF11: Yes 30.4%, NDC 38.6% of the two-party voteF12: Yes 33.1%, NDC 46.1% of the two-party voteG01: Yes 33.7%, NDC 44.3% of the two-party voteG02: Yes 36.8%, NDC 38.8% of the two-party voteG03: Yes 42.4%, NDC 33.3% of the two-party voteG04: Yes 34.5%, NDC 41.2% of the two-party voteG05: Yes 30.2%, NDC 47.6% of the two-party voteG06: Yes 39.4%, NDC 50.2% of the two-party voteG07: Yes 30.0%, NDC 54.5% of the two-party voteG08: Yes 33.2%, NDC 48.4% of the two-party voteG09: Yes 51.3%, NDC 28.6% of the two-party voteH01: Yes 27.3%, NDC 47.7% of the two-party voteH02: Yes 25.3%, NDC 44.1% of the two-party voteH03: Yes 33.9%, NDC 34.5% of the two-party voteH04: Yes 22.3%, NDC 56.5% of the two-party voteH05: Yes 32.7%, NDC 43.1% of the two-party voteH06: Yes 29.2%, NDC 46.3% of the two-party voteH07: Yes 36.6%, NDC 47.0% of the two-party voteH08: Yes 28.3%, NDC 53.3% of the two-party voteH09: Yes 31.6%, NDC 54.0% of the two-party voteJ01: Yes 49.6%, NDC 10.8% of the two-party voteJ02: Yes 50.1%, NDC 7.0% of the two-party voteJ03: Yes 52.7%, NDC 16.3% of the two-party voteJ04: Yes 56.6%, NDC 5.4% of the two-party voteJ05: Yes 56.5%, NDC 6.5% of the two-party voteJ06: Yes 43.2%, NDC 23.3% of the two-party voteJ07: Yes 27.6%, NDC 36.1% of the two-party voteK01: Yes 42.0%, NDC 31.3% of the two-party voteK02: Yes 36.4%, NDC 38.4% of the two-party voteK03: Yes 29.1%, NDC 48.5% of the two-party voteK04: Yes 32.5%, NDC 46.8% of the two-party voteK05: Yes 30.2%, NDC 43.8% of the two-party voteK06: Yes 28.4%, NDC 52.1% of the two-party voteK07: Yes 36.9%, NDC 36.1% of the two-party voteK08: Yes 31.0%, NDC 39.5% of the two-party voteK09: Yes 25.6%, NDC 50.9% of the two-party voteK10: Yes 38.6%, NDC 40.2% of the two-party voteL01: Yes 30.3%, NDC 42.7% of the two-party voteL02: Yes 32.5%, NDC 48.7% of the two-party voteL03: Yes 30.7%, NDC 47.1% of the two-party voteL04: Yes 34.7%, NDC 39.1% of the two-party voteL05: Yes 26.2%, NDC 46.4% of the two-party voteL06: Yes 33.2%, NDC 40.1% of the two-party voteL07: Yes 36.6%, NDC 33.5% of the two-party voteL08: Yes 32.4%, NDC 38.8% of the two-party voteM01: Yes 31.2%, NDC 53.0% of the two-party voteM02: Yes 40.0%, NDC 53.3% of the two-party voteM03: Yes 36.4%, NDC 46.8% of the two-party voteM04: Yes 39.9%, NDC 39.6% of the two-party voteM05: Yes 44.2%, NDC 29.1% of the two-party voteM06: Yes 38.6%, NDC 30.6% of the two-party voteM07: Yes 35.2%, NDC 46.7% of the two-party voteM08: Yes 31.7%, NDC 50.1% of the two-party voteM09: Yes 46.3%, NDC 33.5% of the two-party voteN01: Yes 50.3%, NDC 26.9% of the two-party voteN02: Yes 44.2%, NDC 31.2% of the two-party voteN03: Yes 46.3%, NDC 33.5% of the two-party voteN04: Yes 45.2%, NDC 31.8% of the two-party voteN05: Yes 44.6%, NDC 26.9% of the two-party voteN06: Yes 34.6%, NDC 37.2% of the two-party voteP01: Yes 34.2%, NDC 55.3% of the two-party voteP02: Yes 25.6%, NDC 61.7% of the two-party voteP03: Yes 45.5%, NDC 33.4% of the two-party voteP04: Yes 26.1%, NDC 56.3% of the two-party voteP05: Yes 30.2%, NDC 44.0% of the two-party voteP06: Yes 32.1%, NDC 55.4% of the two-party voteR01: Yes 34.2%, NDC 45.3% of the two-party voteR02: Yes 35.7%, NDC 54.6% of the two-party voteR03: Yes 30.4%, NDC 53.7% of the two-party voteR04: Yes 30.7%, NDC 65.9% of the two-party voteR05: Yes 39.5%, NDC 40.6% of the two-party voteR06: Yes 32.3%, NDC 39.5% of the two-party voteR07: Yes 36.6%, NDC 40.5% of the two-party voteR08: Yes 36.3%, NDC 37.1% of the two-party voteR09: Yes 31.8%, NDC 45.9% of the two-party voteNDC two-party share →Yes ↑
2018 referendum vs 2018 election
A01: Yes 68.6%, NDC 38.1% of the two-party voteA02: Yes 56.0%, NDC 54.4% of the two-party voteA03: Yes 58.4%, NDC 45.5% of the two-party voteB07: Yes 54.0%, NDC 27.3% of the two-party voteB08: Yes 66.7%, NDC 24.2% of the two-party voteB09: Yes 55.0%, NDC 33.4% of the two-party voteB10: Yes 64.4%, NDC 29.9% of the two-party voteC01: Yes 53.7%, NDC 38.4% of the two-party voteC02: Yes 57.1%, NDC 35.4% of the two-party voteC03: Yes 31.7%, NDC 51.6% of the two-party voteC04: Yes 42.6%, NDC 37.4% of the two-party voteC05: Yes 31.4%, NDC 37.1% of the two-party voteC06: Yes 42.9%, NDC 33.7% of the two-party voteC07: Yes 53.4%, NDC 35.1% of the two-party voteC08: Yes 26.6%, NDC 48.8% of the two-party voteC09: Yes 29.3%, NDC 56.6% of the two-party voteC10: Yes 34.6%, NDC 53.8% of the two-party voteC11: Yes 35.2%, NDC 44.8% of the two-party voteC12: Yes 44.7%, NDC 44.7% of the two-party voteC13: Yes 38.8%, NDC 46.0% of the two-party voteC14: Yes 48.3%, NDC 35.4% of the two-party voteD01: Yes 50.8%, NDC 32.5% of the two-party voteD02: Yes 44.6%, NDC 48.0% of the two-party voteD03: Yes 54.1%, NDC 35.5% of the two-party voteD04: Yes 44.0%, NDC 52.6% of the two-party voteD05: Yes 76.1%, NDC 26.7% of the two-party voteD06: Yes 35.4%, NDC 48.7% of the two-party voteD07: Yes 32.3%, NDC 56.9% of the two-party voteE01: Yes 59.3%, NDC 27.2% of the two-party voteE02: Yes 47.7%, NDC 39.8% of the two-party voteE03: Yes 33.3%, NDC 45.2% of the two-party voteE04: Yes 37.8%, NDC 47.8% of the two-party voteE05: Yes 44.4%, NDC 41.1% of the two-party voteE06: Yes 34.5%, NDC 47.0% of the two-party voteE07: Yes 37.3%, NDC 51.1% of the two-party voteF01: Yes 23.8%, NDC 42.2% of the two-party voteF02: Yes 43.0%, NDC 43.6% of the two-party voteF03: Yes 29.9%, NDC 45.8% of the two-party voteF04: Yes 32.4%, NDC 48.4% of the two-party voteF05: Yes 20.3%, NDC 53.6% of the two-party voteF06: Yes 37.8%, NDC 45.7% of the two-party voteF07: Yes 23.4%, NDC 67.1% of the two-party voteF08: Yes 33.9%, NDC 49.9% of the two-party voteF09: Yes 41.4%, NDC 36.0% of the two-party voteF10: Yes 51.1%, NDC 38.7% of the two-party voteF11: Yes 47.4%, NDC 42.0% of the two-party voteF12: Yes 34.0%, NDC 50.2% of the two-party voteG01: Yes 43.2%, NDC 42.9% of the two-party voteG02: Yes 39.5%, NDC 39.1% of the two-party voteG03: Yes 48.8%, NDC 26.0% of the two-party voteG04: Yes 53.2%, NDC 29.6% of the two-party voteG05: Yes 41.5%, NDC 44.0% of the two-party voteG06: Yes 34.9%, NDC 43.8% of the two-party voteG07: Yes 36.9%, NDC 39.7% of the two-party voteH01: Yes 27.8%, NDC 49.4% of the two-party voteH02: Yes 33.9%, NDC 43.6% of the two-party voteH03: Yes 53.3%, NDC 34.6% of the two-party voteH04: Yes 18.4%, NDC 57.2% of the two-party voteH05: Yes 35.2%, NDC 43.3% of the two-party voteH06: Yes 23.1%, NDC 51.9% of the two-party voteH07: Yes 33.7%, NDC 48.5% of the two-party voteH08: Yes 30.0%, NDC 55.8% of the two-party voteK08: Yes 44.9%, NDC 40.3% of the two-party voteK09: Yes 28.0%, NDC 50.0% of the two-party voteK10: Yes 36.9%, NDC 40.1% of the two-party voteL01: Yes 32.0%, NDC 43.9% of the two-party voteL02: Yes 34.9%, NDC 48.5% of the two-party voteL03: Yes 31.6%, NDC 49.9% of the two-party voteL04: Yes 33.9%, NDC 43.3% of the two-party voteL05: Yes 25.4%, NDC 52.7% of the two-party voteL06: Yes 41.3%, NDC 43.3% of the two-party voteL07: Yes 37.6%, NDC 38.1% of the two-party voteL08: Yes 37.8%, NDC 41.9% of the two-party voteM01: Yes 37.9%, NDC 49.7% of the two-party voteM02: Yes 42.2%, NDC 46.7% of the two-party voteM03: Yes 44.2%, NDC 41.2% of the two-party voteM04: Yes 47.2%, NDC 41.5% of the two-party voteM05: Yes 64.6%, NDC 28.5% of the two-party voteM06: Yes 68.1%, NDC 28.8% of the two-party voteM07: Yes 37.3%, NDC 46.5% of the two-party voteM08: Yes 31.8%, NDC 46.1% of the two-party voteM09: Yes 66.7%, NDC 27.5% of the two-party voteN01: Yes 76.9%, NDC 26.0% of the two-party voteN02: Yes 61.5%, NDC 31.7% of the two-party voteN03: Yes 61.6%, NDC 31.3% of the two-party voteN04: Yes 69.1%, NDC 24.5% of the two-party voteN05: Yes 61.4%, NDC 24.2% of the two-party voteN06: Yes 57.3%, NDC 30.1% of the two-party voteP01: Yes 50.0%, NDC 51.9% of the two-party voteP02: Yes 35.9%, NDC 55.8% of the two-party voteP03: Yes 61.6%, NDC 32.2% of the two-party voteP04: Yes 42.0%, NDC 44.6% of the two-party voteP05: Yes 49.6%, NDC 39.7% of the two-party voteP06: Yes 40.5%, NDC 49.1% of the two-party voteR01: Yes 53.7%, NDC 37.9% of the two-party voteR02: Yes 55.8%, NDC 45.6% of the two-party voteR03: Yes 34.2%, NDC 51.2% of the two-party voteR04: Yes 37.7%, NDC 58.3% of the two-party voteR05: Yes 50.0%, NDC 38.0% of the two-party voteR06: Yes 38.3%, NDC 43.9% of the two-party voteR07: Yes 54.1%, NDC 38.0% of the two-party voteR08: Yes 55.5%, NDC 36.0% of the two-party voteR09: Yes 24.5%, NDC 46.3% of the two-party voteNDC two-party share →Yes ↑

The 2018 referendum has divisions only for the 10 constituencies readable in the Gazette.

6 · How far each result can be trusted

Every general election in every constituency, coloured by how its figures were verified. Details are on the Sources page.

Constituency’51’54’57’61’62’67’72’76’84’90’95’99’03’08’13’18’22
Before 1972 (8–10 seats, old boundaries)✱✱✱✱✱✱✱✱
Carriacou & Petite Martinique††
St. Andrew South East†††
St. Andrew South West††✱✱
St. Andrew North East††
St. Andrew North West††
St. David††
Town of St. George††✱✱
St. George North East††
St. George North West††
St. George South East††
St. George South††✱✱
St. John††
St. Mark††
St. Patrick East††
St. Patrick West††